With representatives from Iran and the P5+1 global powers set to meet starting Wednesday in Geneva, both sides are signaling that a deal is to be announced within days. While the Obama administration has been adamant in emphasizing that no final plan has been agreed upon, reports indicate that Iran will be able to secure sanctions relief without meeting their international obligations to "suspend" uranium and plutonium work, and without even making concessions that would prevent them from advancing their nuclear program over the coming months.
The debate over whether to grant financial relief to Iran - and to what degree - has focused attention on the role and robustness of the sanctions regime targeting Tehran. Top U.S. lawmakers continue to push for more pressure as long as Iran builds up its program. The administration opposes new sanctions, and has scrambled to explain why, inasmuch as it insists that sanctions coerced Iran to the table, more sanctions would cause them to walk away.
Dr. Emily Landau - a senior research associate at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) in Tel Aviv, and an internationally recognized expert on nuclear negotiations - has emphasized that the sanctions regime has determined the contours of Geneva in such a way that the West has the upper hand and should press for substantial Iranian concessions.
Listen in as The Israel Project hosts an on-record conference call with Dr. Landau to discuss the stakes involved in the Geneva talks, the path that negotiations are likely to take, and how the P5+1 might position themselves to secure a robust deal with Iran.
About The Speaker
Dr. Emily Landau is a senior research associate at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) in Tel Aviv, where she is also director of the Arms Control and Regional Security Project. She has published and lectured extensively on nuclear proliferation, arms control efforts, and regional security in the Middle East, including CSBMs, Arab perceptions of Israel's qualitative edge, Israeli-Egyptian relations, and the Arms Control and Regional Security working group of the Madrid peace process (ACRS); international efforts to confront the proliferation challenges posed by Iran and North Korea; Israel's nuclear image and policy; and developments in global nuclear arms control thinking in the post-Cold War world.
Dr. Landau currently teaches nuclear strategy, negotiations and arms control in the International School of the University of Haifa (from 2008), the Executive MA program in Diplomacy and Security at Tel Aviv University (from 2012) and in the Lauder School of Government at IDC, Herzliya (from 2013). She has taught in additional programs at Tel Aviv University over the past decade. She is co-author of Israel's Nuclear Image: Arab Perceptions of Israel's Nuclear Posture (1994), co-editor of Building Regional Security in the Middle East: International, Regional and Domestic Influences (2003), and author of Arms Control in the Middle East: Cooperative Security Dialogue and Regional Constraints (Sussex Academic Press, 2006).