On behalf of The Israel Project, Olive Tree Strategies is pleased to present the key findings from a national survey of 1,978 registered voters, conducted July 21-24, 2015. The survey was conducted using online interviews. The data were weighted to approximate a national sample of registered voters. The survey has a margin of error of ±2.2% at a 95% level of confidence.
Key Findings: Voters are increasingly concerned with security issues, falling only behind economic issues on Americans’ list of priorities. At the same time, optimism about the direction of the country is dropping, as is President Obama’s approval rating. And, as more voters are tuning into the debate surrounding the Iran deal, more voters are opposed to the deal, rising from 30% disapprove in the beginning of June to 44% today.
1. A majority of voters (52%) disapprove of President Obama’s handling of the nuclear negotiations with Iran. Moreover, the issue represents the President’s lowest net negative rating across eight different issues.
2. Voters disapprove of the Iran deal, plurality call on Congress to reject. Support for the deal with Iran has experienced a net drop of -17 in the past two months. On June 5th, the framework agreement had the support of 43% of voters while only 30% disapproved (+13). Today Support has slightly dipped to 40%, and at the same time disapproval has skyrocketed to 44% (-4).
3. The more voters learn about this deal, the higher their disapproval. Rising disapproval of the deal tracks along with rising attention to the issue. And, in the survey, when voters are presented with balanced debates (supporting arguments taken directly from White House website), a majority (53%) call on Congress to reject the deal.
4. Digging into specific concerns eradicates remaining support for deal. After being presented with ten concerns about the deal with Iran, voters overwhelmingly oppose having Congress support the deal. With this information, 23% still support approving the deal, while 62% want Congress to reject the deal and NOT lift sanctions on Iran.
5. Opposing this deal is the principled responsibility of elected leaders. A majority of voters say that “opponents of the nuclear deal with Iran are weighing in on an important foreign policy issue, which is their responsibility as our elected leaders.” Only 29% view opposition to the deal as some sort of partisan vendetta against the President.
6. The alternative to the deal is a better deal. A majority of voters (57%) agree.
Bottom Line: The more voters hear about and learn about the deal with Iran, the greater their opposition. While some seemed to hold out hope in June, those hopes have been dashed and voters now stand in opposition. As the debate surrounding this issue continues to heat up, there is little question as to which direction these numbers will continue to move.