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The Threat of Iranian Missile Development and Export
Iran’s rapidly expanding missile program is a growing threat to regional stability in the Middle East and is a cause of grave concern to Tehran’s immediate and more distant neighbors. Al-Alam, Iran’s Arabic-language news service, declared in 2008 that the Islamic Republic is the region’s missile power. [1]
Timeline of Recent Missile Developments
Aug. 25, 2010: Iran announced that it successfully test-fired an upgraded version of a short-range surface-to-surface missile. The new version of the missile increases the weapon's range from earlier generations, Iran's Defense Minister Gen. Ahmad Vahidi said. Earlier versions of the Fateh-110, which Iran has had for several years, could strike targets up to 120 miles (193 kilometers) away. [2]
Aug. 22, 2010: Iran unveiled a bomber drone that the Islamic Republic nicknamed [3] "the ambassador of death." The presentation of the drone came a day after Iranian and Russian technicians began loading fuel into Iran's first nuclear power station. Iranian state television said the drone had a range of 620 miles (1,000 km) and a speed of 560 mph (900 km per hour) and could be armed with four cruise missiles or a payload of either two 250-lb. (113-kg) bombs or a 500-lb. bomb.
April 19, 2010: a declassified Defense Department report on Iran's military stated that Iranmay be able to build a missile capable of striking the United States by 2015. [4]
Aug. 4, 2010: Iran claimed to have acquired four S-300 surface-to-air missiles despite Russian refusal to deliver such weaponry to the Islamic Republic. The claim was dismissed as a bluff by Western intelligence officials.
April 19, 2010: a declassified Defense Department report on Iran's military stated that Iran may be able to build a missile capable of striking the United States by 2015. [5]
Feb. 4, 2010: Iran announced it had launched a rocket capable of carrying a satellite. The Kavoshgar-3 rocket, propelled by liquid fuel, was a testing device for space systems that typically rise about 63 miles (100 km) above the earth’s surface before returning by parachute. The long-range ballistic technology that had been used to put satellites into orbit can also be used to launch warheads. [6]
Dec. 16, 2009: Iranannounced that it had test-fired an improved version of its most advanced missile, one capable of reaching Israel and parts of Europe. Iranian television gave a brief report of a successful test of the two-stage, solid-fuel missile, the Sejil-2. Though the range of this rocket is comparable to the liquid-fueled Shahab III, which Iran first obtained from North Korea, a solid-fuel rocket is easier to use on short notice, easier to hide from attack, and more accurate, experts said. [7]
Sept. 28, 2009: Iran announced that its Revolutionary Guards had test-fired missiles with sufficient range to strike Israel, parts of Europe and U.S. bases in the Persian Gulf. The reported tests of the medium-range, liquid-fueled Shahab-3 and the solid-fueled Sejil-2 missiles as well as short-ranged missiles earlier in the week came just days after President Obama and the leaders of France and Britain used the disclosure of a previously secret nuclear processing plant under construction in Iran to threaten Tehran with a stronger response to its efforts to enrich uranium. [8]
On May 20, 2009, Iran test-fired the solid-fuel Sejil-2 missile with a range of more than 1,200 miles (2,000 km), capable of striking Israel and parts of Europe. According to Iranian Defense Minister Mostafa Mohammed Najjar, the Sejil-2 differs from the earlier version of the Sejil in that it “is equipped with a new navigation system as well as precise and sophisticated sensors.” The U.S. Department of Defense confirmed that the test-launch was successful. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said the missile “landed exactly on target.”
The advantage of a solid-fuel missile is that it is easily stored and hidden, moved, reassembled, and fired on short notice, making it more difficult to target. [9]
On Feb. 3 2009, Iran launched a domestically made satellite into orbit for the first time. Iran said the launch of the Omid (Hope) research and telecom satellite was a major step in its space technology timed to coincide with the 30th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic revolution. The long-range ballistic technology used to put satellites into orbit, can launch warheads. [10]
On July 9, 2008, as part of a series of war games code-named “The Great Prophet,” Iran successfully launched the Shahab-3 missile that travels up to 930 miles (1,500 km). [11] The newer Shahab-3ER, with a 2,000-km range, puts Turkey into Iran’s missile range. [12] Iran could also strike numerous European countries with its long-range ballistic BM25 land-mobile missiles; one model has a range of 1,550 miles (2,500 km) and the other can reach as far as 2,175 miles (3,500 km). [13] Cities in range include Kiev, Athens, and Budapest.
In addition, Iran is also developing its own satellite-launching capability, which could allow for the conversion of a satellite launcher into an intercontinental ballistic missile with a range of almost 2,500 miles (4,000 km). [14] Rome, Vienna, Berlin and Warsaw will all be in range following this development.
Iran’s increasing military prowess indicates Tehran’s growing ambitions in the international arena and its desire to exert even greater influence in Middle East affairs. In conjunction with Iran’s continued support of terror through non-state organizations such as Hamas and Hezbollah, Iran is now in a position to spread its weapons technology to many other groups and regimes. Of particular concern is Tehran’s ongoing uranium enrichment program, which has the potential of sparking a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.
At a military parade in Tehran, banners adorning six Shahab-3 missiles proudly displayed Iran’s hatred toward Israel and the United States, reading, “Israel must be wiped off the map” and “We will crush America under our feet.” [15]
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Iran's Missile Stock: Short-Range Missiles [16]
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| Name |
Missile Stages |
Propulsion |
Range in miles (km) |
Inventory |
| Shahab-1 |
1
|
Liquid |
177 - 205 (285-330) |
250 - 300 |
| Shahab-2 |
1
|
Liquid |
310 - 435 (500-700) |
200 – 450 |
| Samid |
1
|
Liquid |
-- |
-- |
Shahab-3
Zelzal-3 |
1
|
Liquid, solid |
620-930 (1,000 -1,500) |
-- |
Shahab-3D
Zelzal-3D |
2
|
Liquid, solid |
930 (1,500 +) |
-- |
IRIS
Zelzal-3D |
2
|
Liquid, solid |
930 (1,500 +) |
-- |
| Shahab-4 |
3
|
Liquid, solid |
1,120-1,240 (1,800-2,000) |
-- |
| IRSL-X-2 |
3
|
Liquid, solid |
1,370-1,800 (2.200-2.900) |
-- |
Shahab-5
IRSL-X-3/Kosar
IRIS |
2,3
|
Liquid, solid |
Two stage: 2,170-2,330 (3,500-3,750)
Three stage: 2,485-2,670 (4,000-4,300)
|
-- |
Shahab-6
IRSL-X-4/Kosar |
3
|
Liquid, solid |
3,400-3,420 (5,470 -5,500)
3,500-3,850 (5,632 -6,200)
3,850-4,160 (6,200-6,700)
4,970+ (8,000+) |
-- |
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Ilustration: Federation of American Scientists
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Iran displays a Qadr missile
Photo: GlobalSecurity.org
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GBU-67/9A Qadr (“Destiny” in Arabic)
Missile-production companies working for the Iranian Ministry of Defense are manufacturing the GBU-67/9A Qadr, the first generation of precision-guided munitions (PGMs). [17]
Iranian Minister of Defense Brig. Gen.Mostafa Mohammad-Najjar announced in November 2007 that Tehran is developing the Qadr and another missile, the “Ashoura,” both with the capacity to travel beyond 1,242 miles (2,000 kilometers). [18]
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Photo: GlobalSecurity.org
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Shahab
The Shahab (“Comet” in Farsi) is an Iranian missile based on the design of the Soviet R11, a 1950s Scud missile. [19] Iran originally acquired a small quantity of Scud missiles from Libya to retaliate against Iraqi attacks during the Iran-Iraq war. [20] Following the war, Iran acquired the 661-lb. (300-kg) Scud B and 1,278-lb. (580-kg) Scud C missiles from North Korea. The missiles were dubbed the Shahab-1 and Shahab-2, respectively. Many Shahab-1 missiles were fired into the encampments of the Mujahedeen el-Khalq (MEK) opposition group in Iraq. [21]
The acquisition of the Shahab-3 missile made Iran a threat to the Western world. The Shahab-1 and 2 had a limited range and primarily threatened Iraq. The Shahab-3, tested in 1998, had a range of 806 miles (1,300 km), placing Tel Aviv under threat. The Shahab-3 and the Pakistani “Ghauri” are similar to the North Korean Scud missile, the No Dong. In 2004, Iran revealed the more powerful and precise Shahab-3. The latest version of the missile, with a range of up to 930 miles (1,500 km), is longer with a modified external design. [22] Between 1998 and 2006, 10 test flights of the Shahab-3 were carried out, half of which failed. [23]
Israel and the U.S. have prepared for a Shahab-3 attack by having the crew of the American Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean Sea practice intercepting missiles aimed at them. [24] On July 9, 2008, Iran test-fired a Shahab-3 missile with a range of 1,242 miles (2,000 kilometers). [25]
In 2005, Iran announced that it had succeeded in testing solid propellant motors for a “twin engine” missile for the latest model of Shahab. [26] According to the journal Strategic Assessment, Iran has developed the longer-range Shahab-4, Shahab-5 (Kosar), and Shahab-6. [27]
Military experts consider the Shahab-4 the Iranian counterpart to the North Korean Taepodong-1. [28] These missiles cause heavier damage than the Shahab-3, carrying a greater payload and with and increased range of up to 2,480 miles (4,000 kilometers). [29] The missile would have the capability of thrusting an Iranian satellite up to 22 miles (35 kilometers) into space from the launching pad near the city of Qom. [30]
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BM-25 on a transport truck
Foto: GlobalSecurity.org
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BM-25
The BM-25 Ballistic Missile is Iran’s newest long-range acquisition. Obtained from North Korea, it has a range of 1,550-2,170 miles (2,500-3,500 km) using the new technology of storable liquid propulsion. [31] According to the German newspaper Bild, Iran purchased 18 BM-25 missiles and launchers from North Korea. The BM-25 is based on the Soviet SS-N-6 (R-27) submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM). [32] Iranian officials and the Russian minister of defense denied the report. [33]
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Iranian Rocket Stock
Iran possesses a wide range of artillery rockets systems: the Shahin, Oghab, Fajar (also fadjr, fajr), Naze'at, and Zelzal missiles. Iran used Oghab missiles during the February-April 1988 “War of the Cities” to shell Iraqi cities and towns. [34]
The Haseb, an Iranian 12-tube, four-inch (107 mm) multiple rocket launcher, is a modification of a Chinese 4-inch (107 mm) rocket, as well as an upgrade of Chinese and Russian five-inch (122 mm) rockets. [35] The Nazeat-10, an extended-range mode of the Nazeat-6, is blasted from the same launcher as the Oghab. [36]
Oghab is an unguided high explosive rocket. A nine-inch (230-mm) artillery rocket with a range of 21 miles (34 kilometers), the Oghab launches with three launch tubes. [37]
The Shahin I and the Shahin II are both high-explosive rockets. [38] The Shahin II is an unguided rocket designed to destroy enemy troops. [39]
In 1991, Iran introduced the Fajar missile with the aid of North Korea. [40] A drawback with the Fajar missile is that it has limited accuracy within a radius of less than half a mile (1 km). [41]
Iran has tested a chemical warhead for the Fajar-5, which included an enhanced launcher with four 13-inch (333 mm) caliber launch tubes. [42] The primary mission of the Fajar-5 launching system is to hit ground targets. [43]
Iranian representatives dubbed the Fateh-110 or the A-110 as a solid fuel power guided missile. [44] It is probably an upgraded guided model of the Zelzal-2 with a range of between 99 to 124 miles (160 to 200 km). [45] Several military experts claim that the Fateh-110 is not a missile because it lacks an effective guidance system. [46]
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Iranian Artillery Rockets [47]
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| Rocket |
Range in miles(km) |
Warhead weight in pounds (kg) |
| Haseb |
5.5 (9 km)
|
18 (8 kg)
|
| Noor |
11 (18 km)
|
40 (18 kg)
|
| Arash |
12.5 (20 km)
|
40 (18 kg)
|
| Arash |
12.5 (20 km)
|
18 (8 kg)
|
| Oghab |
21-28 (34 - 45 km)
|
154 (70 kg)
|
| Fajr-3 / Ra'ad |
28 (45 km)
|
99 (45 kg)
|
| Shahin-1 |
8 (13 km)
|
418 (190 kg)
|
| Shahin-2 |
20 (12 km)
|
190 (86 kg)
|
| Fajr-5 |
75 (47 km)
|
90 (41 kg)
|
| Naze'at-4 |
90 (56 km)
|
--
|
| Naze'at-5 |
--
|
--
|
| Naze'at-6 |
105 (65 km)
|
85 (39 kg)
|
| Naze'at-10 |
140 (87 km)
|
250 (113 kg)
|
| Mushak-120 |
130 (81 km)
|
500 (227 kg)
|
| Zelzal-2 |
100-200 (62 - 124 km)
|
--
|
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Illustration: Global Security.org
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Cruise Missiles
In 2005, Ukraine’s prosecutor-general announced that arms dealers had smuggled several KH55 Soviet-era cruise missiles into Iran between 1991 - 2001. [48] The missiles have a range of 2,100 miles (3,500 km). [49]
Terrorist Groups Aided by Iran
Iran remains the world’s most active state supporter of terrorism, providing funding, weapons and training to Hezbollah and Palestinian groups such as Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad; the latter two have mounted violent opposition against the Palestinian Authority president’s Fatah group. [50]
Hamas
In light of the proposed peace talks between Syria and Israel, an Iranian official announced that Iran would continue to fund Hamas even if peace were reached. A ranking military officer promised the government that “very advanced” missiles were under development especially for Hamas. [51]
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Photo: GlobalSecurity.org
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Hezbollah
Iran provided the terrorist group Hezbollah thousands of rockets that Hezbollah used in its war against Israel in 2006. Hezbollah currently has 30,000 rockets, according to the United Nations. [52]
Hezbollah possesses Zelzal-1 rockets, with a 78-mile (125-km) range, and Zelzal-2 rockets, with a 130-mile (210-km) range, which are capable of hitting the Israeli cities of Tel Aviv, along the Mediterranean Sea, and Be’er Sheba in the south. These long-range missiles were smuggled into Lebanon two to three years prior to Israel’s defensive war against Hezbollah (also known as the Second Lebanon War) and stored in the Beirut area. [53]
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Hezbollah's rockets can reach into Israel as far as Dimona
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They were probably not used during the war. Hezbollah used the Iranian-produced Falaq to attack equipped targets. The Falaq-1 rocket has a range of up to 5.5 miles (nine km) while the Falaq-2 has a maximum distance of seven miles (11 km). [54]
The Iranian-constructed rockets Fajar-3 and Fajar-5, with ranges of up to 43 miles (70 km), were also supplied to Hezbollah militants. Iranian engineers designed rooms in the homes of Hezbollah activists to install rocket launchers and to store weapons. [55] Fajar rockets became the main threat to the northern region of Israel during the 2006 war.
The Iranian-made Naze’at rockets have a range of up to 86 miles (140 km). They were not used during Hezbollah’s 2006 war against Israel.
Iran supplied Hezbollah with Chinese-made C-802 land-to-sea cruise missiles. The C-802 was used to hit an Israeli naval ship off the coast of Beirut on July 14, 2006. [56]
Future of Iran’s Missiles
U.S. pressure on China has prevented Iran from acquiring the M-9 and M-11 single-stage, solid-fuel, road-mobile missiles. Iran is also relying on China to continue the development of the 1,100-pound (500 kg) Tondar-68 with a range of 620 miles and the Iran-700 with a range of 434 miles (700 km) of the same weight. [57] Jane’s Defence Weekly reports that China may be aiding Iran in improving the range of HY-1 (HaiYing-1) [58] and HY-2 (HaiYing-2) [59] land-to-ship missiles, [60] which could put the Persian Gulf at risk.
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Footnotes:
[6] Hafezi, Parisa and Reza Derakhshi, " Iran says launches satellite rocket," Reuters, February 4, 2010, http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6116GO20100203
[19] Rubin, Uzi, “The Global Reach of Iran’s Ballistic Missiles,” Tel Aviv University Press, Ramat Aviv, 2006, pg. 17
[20] Ibid.
[22] Ibid.
[23] Rubin, Uzi, “The Global Reach of Iran’s Ballistic Missiles,” Tel Aviv University Press, Ramat Aviv, 2006, pg. 22
[27] Ibid.
[28] Ibid.
[29] Ibid.
[30] Ibid.
[31] Rubin, Uzi, “The Global Reach of Iran’s Ballistic Missiles,” Tel Aviv University Press, Ramat Aviv, 2006, pg. 3
[33] Ibid.
[35] Ibid.
[36] Ibid.
[37] Ibid.
[38] Ibid.
[39] Ibid.
[40] Ibid.
[41] Ibid.
[42] Ibid.
[45] Ibid.
[46] Ibid.
[47] Ibid.
[49] “Iran’s race for Regional Supremacy,” Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, 2008
[53] Harel, Amos, and Issacharoff, Avi, 34 Days: Israel, Hezbollah, and the War in Lebanon. London: MacMillan Press, London, 2008, p. 49
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